PROGRAM:
Lake Arrowhead 2002 Conference
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Thursday 6:30 to 7:45
DINNER
Followed by a RECEPTION in LAKE VIEW
Friday 9:00 to 10:00
PLENARY SESSION
PINE VIEW
Chair: Susanne Lohmann
Short Welcome: Bill McKelvey
1. Nigel Gilbert <n.gilbert@soc.surrey.ac.uk>,
Agent-based Modeling: The First Ten Years; the Next Hundred?
2. Steve
Bankes <bankes@evolvinglogic.com>,
Exploring Ensembles of Alternative Agent Based Models
Friday 10:30 to 12:00
Intelligence, Learning, and
Knowledge applications LAKE VIEW
Chair: David Kronenfeld
3.
Jerker Denrell, Christina Fang and Daniel A. Levinthal <Jerker.Denrell@hhs.se>,
Learning in a Labyrinth: Learning from Model-based Feedback
4.
Piotr Dollar, Paul Laskowski
and Marshall Van Alstyne <mvanalst@umich.edu>,
Simulating the Growth and Diffusion of Knowledge in Agent Societies
5. Dario Nardi <dnardi@math.ucla.edu>,
Intelligence as CommunicationRoles and Needs of Socially Embedded Agents
6.
Margo Waddell <margotanne@pdq.net>,
When a Fad Ends: An Agent Model of Imitative Behavior
Peace, War, Terrorism & Homicide
PINE VIEW
Chair: Ian Lustick
7. Hayward R. Alker <alker@rcf-fs.usc.edu>,
On the Ontology of War and Peace
8. Kathleen M. Carley <carley+@centro.soar.cs.cmu.edu>
Inhibiting Emergence in and Destabilizing Multi-Agent Networks
9. Kathleen M. Carley, Douglas B. Fridsma and Alex Yahja <ay@cmu.edu>,
BIOWAR: Simulation of Disease Outbreaks using Social Networks
10.
George Tita and Robert Axtell <gtita@uci.edu>,
Drugs,
Guns and Gangs: An Agent-Based Model of Homicide
Organizational Strategy &
Emergent Structure LIBRARY
Chair: Nosh Contractor
11. Anthony Dekker <dekker@ACM.org>,
Agent-Based Modelling and Organisational Structure
12. Raymond
E. Levitt, Michael Fyall, Per Bjornsson and William Hewlett, III
<rel@cive.stanford.edu>,
When Information Flow in Project Organizations Becomes Turbulent: Toward an
Organizational "Reynolds Number
13. Ugo Merlone
and Arianna Dal Forno <merlone@econ.unito.it>,
An
Agent-based Simulation Framework for the Analysis of the Equilibria Emergence
in a Complex Structure Such as a Firm
14.
Jan W. Rivkin <jrivkin@hbs.edu>,
Choice
Interaction and Organization Structure
Friday 1:30 to 3:30
Individual Psychological studies
PINE VIEW
Chair: Dan Levinthal
15. Robert Hoffmann
<Robert.Hoffmann@nottingham.ac.uk>,
Social
Cognition and Coordination
16.
Jürgen Klüver and Christina Stoica <juergen.kluever@uni-essen.de>,
Formal
Parallels Between Sociocultural Evolution and Cognitive Ontogenesis.
A Computational Model
17. Stacy Marsella and Jonathan Gratch <marsella@isi.edu> <gratch@ict.usc.edu>,
Developing Agent-based Models of Emotion, Cognition, and Social Behavior
18. Pietro Panzarasa <pp@ecs.soton.ac.uk>,
Interaction Topologies and Organizational Cognition
19. Juliette Rouchier <rouchier@ehess.cnrs-mrs.fr>,
How Individuals' Self-Image Can Evolve in a Strongly Constrained Society with
Shared Norms of Behavior and Learning
Anthropology
LIBRARY
Chair: Dwight Read
20.
Jay Douglas <jdouglas@ict.usc.edu>,
Posthuman Players: Autonomous Agents and the Movies
21. Michael D. Fischer <M.D.Fischer@ukc.ac.uk>,
Powerful Knowledge: Information Theory, Classification and Knowledge in Pakistan
and the Cook Islands
22. Nick Gessler <gessler@ucla.edu>,
Artificial Culture: Experiments in Synthetic Anthropology
23. David B. Kronenfeld <kfeld@citrus.ucr.edu>,
Culture and Society: The Role of Distributed Cognition
Industry Level Analyses
LAKE VIEW
Chair: Jan Rivkin
24. Vito Albino, Nunzia Carbonara and Ilaria Giannoccaro <ncarbonara@dimeg.poliba.it>,
Co-operation and Competition within Industrial District
Networks: An Agent-Based Approach
25. Clint
Andrews (Rutgers) and Rob Axtell <cja1@rci.rutgers.edu>,
Agent Based Modeling of Industrial Ecosystems
26. Leslie Henrickson <lhenrick@ucla.edu>,
A Systems and Agent-based Model Approach
for College Choice/College Access to Higher Education
27. Paul Ormerod, Helen Johns and Laurence Smith <pormerod@volterra.co.uk>,
An Agent-Based Model of the Extinction Patterns of Capitalism’s Largest Firms
28.
C. Jason Woodard <jason@eecs.harvard.edu>,
Architectural
Control and the Strategy of Design: Agent-Based Approaches to Modeling the Software
Industry
Friday 4:00 to 6:00 (6:20)
Studies of Cooperative Behavior
LIBRARY
Chair: Jasmina Arifovic
29.
Damon Centola <damon_octavius@hotmail.com>
How Societies Solve Social Dilemmas: Group Formation and Emergent Cooperation
30.
Corinne Coen <ccoen@buffalo.edu>,
Beyond the Shadow of the Future: How Multiple Teams Alter the Dynamics of Cooperation
31.
Jung-Kyoo Choi <jungk@econs.umass.edu>,
The
Evolution of Cooperation In N-Person Public Goods Game Under Different Social
Environments.
32. W. F. Lawless <lawlessw@mail.paine.edu>,
Social Quantum Logic: An Alternative to Cooperation and Game Theories
33. Mark Pingle and Leigh Tesfatsion <tesfatsi@iastate.edu>,
Non-Employment Benefits and the Evolution of Worker-Employer Cooperation: Experiments
with Real and Computational Agents
Government Processes and Outcomes
PINE VIEW
Chair: Hayward Alker
34.
Emily Clough <eclough@polisci.umn.edu>
Integrating Downs and Duverger: Modeling party systems under conditions
of uncertainty
35. David Epstein <de11@columbia.edu>,
Complexity in Legislatures
36.
Marco A. Janssen and Elinor Ostrom <maajanss@indiana.edu>,
Adoption
of a New Regulation for the Governance of Common-Pool Resources by a Heterogeneous
Population
37.
Ken Kollman, <kkollman@umich.edu>,
The Rotating Presidency of the European Union.
38.
Keiji Suzuki <suzukj@fun.ac.jp>,
Changing
Roles of Meta-agents in Simulations of the Tragedy of the Commons
39. Byoung Won Min <min.16@osu.edu>,
Conflict and Trade in Cellular Automata World Politics
Meta-Perspectives on Agent Modeling
LAKE VIEW
Chair: Steve Bankes
40. László
Gulyás <gulyas@fas.harvard.edu>,
On
The Transition to Agent-Based Modeling: A Case Study
41. Robert Lempert <lempert@rand.org>,
Robust Adaptive Planning: A New Decisions Sciences for Complex Systems
42. Bill McKelvey <mckelvey@anderson.ucla.edu>,
Foundations of “New” Social Science: Institutional Legitimacy from Philosophy,
Complexity Science, Postmodernism, and Agent-Based Modeling
43. David Sallach <sallach@uchicago.edu>,
Layered Situations and Agent Orientation
44.
Darren Schreiber <dschreib@ucla.edu>,
Validating
Models: From Epistemology to Applications
Friday 7:30 to 9:30
Modeling Issues in Self-Organizing
and Evolving Systems1 PINE VIEW
Chairs: Charlotte Hemelrijk and Norman Johnson
45. Mark Bedau: <mab@reed.edu>,
Quantifying Adaptation of Evolved Structures
46. Noah Goldstein: <noah@geog.ucsb.edu>,
Chaotic Nature of Online Translators
47. Norman Johnson: <nlj@lanl.gov>,
Failure in Collective Systems: The Effect of Environmental Stability on Collective
Self-Organization and the Chaotic Effect of Multiple-Issue Platforms in Electoral
Processes
48. Susanne Lohmann: <lohmann@ucla.edu>,
The Information Ecology of the University
49. Zoltan Toroczkai: <toro@cnls.lanl.gov>,
Spreading of Information with Global Currency Value in Highly Networked Societies
Saturday 8:45 to 10:15
Modeling Issues in Self-Organizing
and Evolving Systems2 PINE VIEW
Chairs: Charlotte Hemelrijk and Norman Johnson
50. Brooke Harrington: <brooke_harrington@brown.edu>,
Task Commitment, Diversity and Workgroup Outcomes Abstract
51. Charlotte Hemelrijk: <hemelrij@ifi.unizh.ch>,
Development of singular collectives, e.g., a despotic society
52. Julia K. Parrish, Steve Viscido and Danny Grunbaum: <jparrish@u.washington.edu>,
The Traffic Rules of Fish Schools: From Individuals to Aggregations
53. Dwight Read <dread@anthro.ucla.edu>,
The Emergence of Order from Disorder as a Form of Self-Organization
Social Informatics
LIBRARY
Chair: Toshizumi Ohta
54. Hitoshi Yamamoto, Isamu Okada, Nobuchika Kobayashi, and Toshizumi Ohta:
<hitoshi@rs.kagu.tus.ac.jp>,
The Winner-take-all Phenomenon in Markets where Network Externality is Ineffective
55. Isamu Okada and Toshizumi Ohta: <okada@s.soka.ac.jp>,
Criteria Indexes of the Multiagent Simulators
56.
Kazunari Ishida and Toshizumi Ohta: <ishida@kke.co.jp>,
On
an analysis of trends concerning agent-based modeling in social science with
a web- mining approach
57. Toshizumi Ohta, Kazunari Ishida, Isamu Okada, and Hitoshi Yamamoto: <ohta@is.uec.ac.jp>,
Social Informatics and Cyber Commons in Computational Analysis
Economics
LAKE VIEW
Chair: Leigh Tesfatsion
58.
Mauro Gallegati, Roberto Leombruni, and Antonio Palestrini <gallegati@deanovell.unian.it>,
Heterogeneous
Agents' Interaction in an Artificial Stock Market
59. Klaus Jaffe
<kjaffe@ivic.ve>,
Monte
Carlo Exploration of Mechanisms for the Creation of Aggregate Wealth
60.
Michael. J. North <north@anl.gov>,
The
Agent-Based Modeling of Electricity
Markets
61. Kwang Woo
Park and Paul J. Zak <ken.park@cgu.edu>,
Income
Distribution Dynamics: Marriage and Informational Cascades
Saturday 10:30 to 12:00
Game Theory Applications
LIBRARY
Chair: Paul Ormerod
62. Jasmina Arifovic and Richard McKelvey <arifovic@sfu.ca>,
Simulating a Turing Tournament
63.
Jonathan Bendor, Daniel Diermeier, and Mike Ting <bendor_jonathan@gsb.stanford.edu>,
The
Empirical Content of Behavioral Models of Adaptation
64. Danny Fernandez,
Ramayya Krishnan and Uday Rajan <danny@andrew.cmu.edu>,
Online
Interaction and Transactional Privacy Negotiations: A Simulation Analysis of
an Agent-based System
65.
Masaki Tomochi, Hiroaki Murata, and Mitsuo Kono <mtomochi@uci.edu>,
A
Consumer-Based Model of Diffusion of Two Competitive, Compatible, and Durable
Goods
National Security Policy Analysis
& Computational Social Science PINE VIEW
Chair: Desmond Saunders-Newton
66.
Thad Brown and Mainiera <tab@ips.edu>,
Elites
from the Dark Arts and Cold Sciences
67.
Joseph Eash
Soft Science, Hard Problems: The Future Role of Social Science in Defense
Research & Engineering
68.
William Mills and Mai Nguyen <billdm@ucia.gov>
<mai@ucia.gov>,
Nonlinear Dynamics in World Politics
69.
Desmond Saunders-Newton <saundersnewtond@ndu.edu>,
Social Science Theory, Operations Research, and Computational
Models: National Security as a Nexus for Inquiry Approaches
Studies of residential neighborhood
processes LAKE VIEW
Chair: Phil Bonacich
70. Elenna
Dugundji <E.Dugundji@FRW.UVA.NL>,
Capturing Complexity in Residential Choice Behavior
71. Giorgio Fagiolo <fagiolo@sssup.it>,
Coordination, Local Interactions and Endogenous Neighborhood Formation
72.
David W. Wong <dwong2@gmu.edu>,
Exploring
the Role of Residential Preference in Segregation with Simulation
Marketing applications
SKY VIEW
Chair: David Midgley
73. Michael Agar and Dwight Wilson <magar@anth.umd.edu>,
Modeling Drug markets
74. David Collings <david.2.collings@bt.com>,
Agent-Based Design of Innovative Customer Relationship Management
75. Robert E. Marks, David Midgley and Lee G. Cooper <david.midgley@insead.edu>,
Endogenizing the Actions of Artificial Brand Managers
Saturday 1:30 to 3:30
Group and team dynamics
LAKE VIEW
Chair: Corinne Coen
76.
Alessandro Acquisti, Maarten Sierhuis and Bill Clancey <acquisti@sims.berkeley.edu>,
Agent-Based
Modeling of Collaboration and Work Practices On Board the International Space
Station
77. William A. Griffin, Willa Cree, Carol Martin, Richard Fabes, and Laura
Hanish <william.griffin@asu.edu>,
Emergent Structure in Children's Play Group Formation
78. Vjollca Sadiraj, Jan Tuinstra and Frans van Winden <vjollca@fee.uva.nl>
Interest Groups in A Spatial Voting Model <vanwinden@dutch.nl>
79.
Maksim Tsvetovat, Craig Schreiber and Kathleen Carley <maksim@psychmanager.com>,
A
Multi-Agent Model of Information Technology Public Goods
80. Yu Yuan and Bill McKelvey <yuyuan@usc.edu>,
Situativity of Learning Within Groups: Coevolutionary Dynamics Over Time
Using Kauffman’s NK Model
International Relations
PINE VIEW
Chair: Lars-Erik Cederman
81. Stephan Majeski <majeski@u.washington.edu>,
Asymmetric Power among Agents in Evolutionary Games
82. Maurits van der Veen <maurits@sas.upenn.edu>,
The Emergence of a European Identity: An Agent-Based Model of International
Interaction
83. Armano Srbljinović, Dražen Penzar, Petra Rodik, Kruno Kardov <asrbljin@morh.hr>,
Agent-Based Modeling of Ethnic Mobilization: The Former Yugoslavia Case
84. Ian S. Lustick <ilustick@sas.upenn.edu>,
A User-Friendly Agent-Based Modeling Platform for Testing Theories of Political
identity and Political Stability
85. Lars-Erik Cederman and Claudio Coiffi-Revilla <cederman@cfia.harvard.edu>,
Replicating the Size of Wars: New Empirical Extensions and Computational Reconstructions
of Power Laws
Geography
LIBRARY
Chair: Nick Gessler
86. David Bennett and Richard Aspinall <david-bennett@uiowa.edu>,
Rural Landscapes as Complex Adaptive Systems
87. Robert N. Bernard <robert.bernard@us.pwcglobal.com>,
Forecasting a Community’s Future via Agent-based Modeling
88. Martin Biskowski, <biskowsk@ucla.edu>,
A Multiagent Simulation of Urban Fuel Use and Scarcity in Prehispanic Central
Mexico
89. Sukaina Bharwani, M.D. Fischer, and N. S. Ryan <s.b41@ukc.ac.uk>,
Modeling Adaptive Change in Agricultural Systems
90. Stephen
J. DeCanio <decanio@econ.ucsb.edu>,
Heterogeneous Agents and Multiple Equilibria: Implications for Climate Policy
Analysis
Saturday 4:30 to 6:20
Psychological Theory in Agent Rules
PINE VIEW
Chair: Wander Jager
91. Wernher Brucks: <brucks@sozpsy.unizh.ch>,
Multi-Agent Simulation of a Village Community Sharing a Solar Power Plant
92.
Hans-Joachim Mosler: <mosler@sozpsy.unizh.ch>,
Persuasion
Processes in Populations: Multi-Agent Simulation Based on a Social Psychological
Theory
93.
Robert Tobias: <rtobias@sozpsy.unizh.ch>,
Empirical
Test of a Psychologically Based Simulation of Collective Action
94.
Kees Zoethout, Wander Jager & Eric Molleman
<k.zoethout@bdk.rug.nl>,
Task Allocation in a Self-organizing Social System: A Multi-disciplinary
Approach
95.
M. Afzal Upal <upal@iet.com>,
Sexual
Selection of Co-operation
96.
Wander Jager and Marco A. Janssen: <w.jager@bdk.rug.nl>,
Coevolution
of Personality and the Environment
Sociology
LIBRARY
Chair: Kathleen Carley
97. Phil Bonacich <bonacich@soc.ucla.edu>,
Power and Pattern in Networks of Gift and Favor Exchange
98. R. Keith Sawyer <ksawyer@artsci.wustl.edu>,
Multi agent systems and the micro-macro link
99. Timothy
Tappe <ttappe@uwyo.edu>,
A
Landscape Theory of Aggregation and Social Networks: Substantive and Methodological
Concerns
100.Takao Terano
and Setsuya Kurahashi <terano@gssm.otsuka.tsukuba.ac.jp>,
Inverse
Simulation and Genetics-Based Validation for Social Interaction Analysis via
Multiagents
101.Duncan
Watts <djw24@columbia.edu>,
Interdisciplinary Research (and some recent results) on the Small-World Problem
Organizational Learning &
Innovation LAKE VIEW
Chair: Robert Lempert
102.Manuel Cartier <manuel.cartier@dauphine.fr>,
Selection and transformation in the innovation
process: a genetic algorithm modeling
103.Myong-Hun
Chang and Joseph E. Harrington, Jr. <m.chang@csuohio.edu>,
Learning
from the Competition: External Spillovers and the Organizational Structures
of Competing…Firms
104.Noshir Contractor <nosh@uiuc.edu>,
A Multi-theoretical Multi-Level Agent Model of the Co-Evolution of Communication
and Knowledge Networks
105.Sendil K Ethiraj and Daniel Levinthal <sethiraj@wharton.upenn.edu>,
Design and Coordination in Complex Systems
106.Alessandro Lomi and Erik Larsen <e.r.larsen@city.ac.uk>,
Strategic Synchronization Among Spatially Distributed Agents
Saturday 7:30 to 9:30
PLENARY SESSION
PINE VIEW
Chair: David Sallach
107.Rob Axtell <raxtell@brookings.edu>,
A Positive Theory of Emergence for Multi-Agent Systems
108.Scott Page
<spage@umich.edu>,
Models of Heterogenous Agents
CLOSING PERSPECTIVES
Kathleen Carley, Lars-Erik Cederman, Leigh Tesfatsion