Information Visibility and Transparency in Supply Chains: An Agent-Based Simulation Approach


     Supply chain performance is hampered by the effects of uncertainty. The sources of uncertainty are natural variability due to the stochastic nature of demand, and systematic variance introduced by the policies, actions, and delays of supply chain partners.  A strategy for reducing uncertainty is sharing information within the supply chain. Questions arise as to the scope and degree of information sharing to maximize benefits. In order to quantify the value of information sharing we have constructed an agent-based simulation of a distributed supply chain network. Agents in the supply chain are autonomous decision-making units situated at various levels of the supply chain (manufacturing, wholesaler, distribution, retail, etc). Agents are characterized by behavioral decision rules (e.g., ordering policy, demand forecasting). Using our supply chain simulation, allows us to quantify risk, and evaluate trade-offs between information sharing and hiding, and cooperation and competition.  


Charles M. Macal
Argonne National Laboratory
Center for Complex Adaptive Systems Simulation, Decision & Information Sciences Division
macal@dis.anl.gov

Michael J. North
Argonne National Laboratory
Center for Complex Adaptive Systems Simulation, Decision & Information Sciences Division
north@anl.gov

Edward P. MacKerrow
Los Alamos National Laboratory
Complex Systems Group, Theoretical Division
mackerrow@lanl.gov

George E. Danner
Industrial Science Inc.
george.danner@earthlink.net

Owen Densmore
Complexity Works Consulting
owen@backspaces.net

Joengseob Kim
Daegu University, Republic of Korea
kim@900exch.dis.anl.gov