PROGRAM
Lake Arrowhead Conference
Wednesday, March 19, 2003
6:30pm-7:50pm
DINNER
8:00pm-9:50pm
OPENING SESSION
PINE VIEW
Welcome by Bill
McKelvey
“The Big
Event” live group simulation
by Dario Nardi
Later….
RECEPTION
LAKE VIEW
Thursday, March 20, 2003
9:00am-10:00am
PLENARY SESSION
PINE VIEW
Chair: Susanne Lohmann
1. Issues in
Using Agent-based Simulations for Prediction (rather than description)
presented by Norman Johnson
2. Econometrics
of Agent-based Models
presented by Eric Bonabeau
10:30am-12:00pm
SESSION I
Methods—1
PINE VIEW
Chair: Norman
Johnson
1.
Generative Micro-dynamics:
A Novel, Unrealizable Epistemology
presented by David Sallach
2. Raising
Truman—Working
with Advanced Robotic Agents
presented by Dario Nardi
3. Some Validation
Challenges and Ethical Issues resulting from Self-Referent Properties
of Multi-Agent Simulation Models
presented by Douglas Samuelson
Information Ecologies
LAKE VIEW
Chair: Merle
Lefkoff
1. Algometry of
Human Fertility and Energy Consumption
presented by Melanie Moses
2. An Agent-Based
Simulation Toward IT Management
presented by Yasuo Kadono
3. How Universities
Think
presented by Susanne Lohmann
12:00pm-1: 20pm
LUNCH
1:30pm-3:30pm
SESSION II
Supply Chain
Analysis
PINE VIEW
Chair: David
Midgley
1.
Agent-based Modeling
for Organizational Design: Three Real-world Case Studies
presented by Eric Bonabeau
2. An Agent-based
Modeling Approach to Agile Supply Network
presented by Seung-Kyu Rhee
3. Applied Agent-Based
Modeling: Design and Simulation of Self-Organizing Systems
presented by Stephen Guerin
4.
Information Visibility
and Transparency in Supply Chains: An Agent-Based Simulation Approach
presented by Charles Macal, Michael North, Edward MacKerrow, George
Danner,
Owen Densmore, Jeongseob Kim
Urban
& Community
Development
LAKE VIEW
Chair: Nicholas
Gessler
1. Agent
Based Simulation
of the Evolution of Archaic States
presented by Robert Reynolds
2. Democracy and
the Emergence of Coexistent Communities
presented by Merle Lefkoff, Norman Johnson
3. Intelligent Agent
Strategies for Modeling Spatial Economies
presented by Bill Macmillan
4. Robustness of
Human-driven Urban Systems
presented by Itzhak Benenson, Erez Hatna
4:00pm-6:30pm
SESSION III
Culture &
Ethnography
PINE
VIEW
Chair: David
Kronenfeld
1. Ecology of Symbols: Information
Efficiency in Cultural Systems
presented by
Michael Fischer
2. Ethnography as Nonlinear
Feral Child
presented by
Michael Agar
3. Modeling the Spatial Distribution
and Temporal Evolution of Cultural Attributes:
Computer Simulations
and Empirical Tests
presented by
Bib Latané
4. Synthesizing Complexity in
Anthropology:
Evolving Cultural Things-That-Think
presented by
Nicholas Gessler
5. What’s Basic about Basic Slang?
Longevity, Pervasiveness and Key Cultural Models
presented by
Robert Moore
War &
Terrorism
LAKE VIEW
Chair:
Desmond Saunders-Newton
1. Agent-based Model of
Abnormal Behavior
presented by
Eric Bonabeau
2. An Agent-Based Simulation of the
Socio-Economic Factors of Terrorism in the Middle-East
presented by
Edward MacKerrow, Merle Lefkoff
3. Creativity in Complex Systems
presented by
Russ Abbott
4. Quantum Information Density Functional
Theory (IDFT): Organizational decision-making and nucleation
presented by
William Lawless
5. Systems Modeling of Government-Funded
Research Laboratories
presented by
Shao-Ping Chen, Edward MacKerrow
6:30pm-7:50pm
DINNER
8:00pm-9:30pm
Computation Social Sciences in Dealing with
Terrorism
Chair:
Rick Craft
Panel
Discussants
:
1. Desmond
Saunders-Newton
2.
Eric Bonabeau
3. Norman
Johnson
4.
Merle Lefkoff
5.
Bill McKelvey
9:30pm-11:45pm
SOCIAL
LAKE VIEW
Friday, March 21, 2003
9:00am-12:00pm
SESSION I
Learning Processes
PINE VIEW
Chair: John Hiles
1. A Multi-agent Computational Model
of the Evolution in Children’s Playgroup Formation
presented by
William Griffin
2. Money, Competition, or Policy, How
to Motivate Young Students: Agent-Based Modeling
presented by
Atsuko Arai, Takao Terano
3. Nonlinear Dynamical Model of Small
Group Decision Making
presented by
Michael Gabbay
Possible short
break?
4. Outwitting Matched Opponents: Natural
Selection for Agent-based Modeling
presented by
Francis Steen
5. Simulating the Emergence of
Population-wide
Marriage Patterns Produced by Individual
mate-search
heuristics
presented by
Peter Todd
6. Technological Innovation and
Industrial
Policies—Multi Agent Simulation with Classifier
System and Double
Loop Learning
presented by
Hiroshi Deguchi, Hao Lee
Analysis of Markets
LAKE VIEW
Chair: Michael North
1. Agent-Based Modeling of Lottery
Markets
presented by
Shu-Heng Chen, Bin-Tzong Chie
2. Analyzing Micro-Macro Structure
in a Financial Market via Agent-Based Simulation
presented by
Takao Terano, Hiroshi Takahashi
3. Artificial Software Agents on Thin
Markets: A Human Trader Experiment
presented by
Jens Grossklags
Possible short
break?
4. Design of Market Mechanisms Using
Computer Test Beds and Human Experiments
presented by
Jasmina Arifovic
5. Open Source Software in the Software
Market—An Agent-based Modeling Approach
presented by
Jing Deng
6. Sellers and the Store: Exploration
s of a Moderated Oligopoly
presented by
David Midgley
12:00pm-1:00pm
LUNCH
Afternoon available for Hiking, informal
meetings, etc.
6:30pm-7:50pm
DINNER
8:00pm-9:30pm
Using Computational Social Science for Long-Term Policy
Analysis PINE VIEW
Chairs:
Steven Bankes, Robert Lempert
Panel Discussants:
1. Desmond
Saunders-Newton
2. ??
3. ??
4. ??
9:30pm-11:45pm
SOCIAL
LAKE VIEW
Saturday, March 22, 2003
9:00am-12:00pm
SESSION I
Policy
Applications
PINE VIEW
Chair: Susanne Lohmann
1. Agency, Security & Policy: the
Application of Multi-Agent Simulations to National Security Issues
presented by
Desmond Saunders-Newton
2. An Agent-based Model of the Urgent
Care System in the UK National Health Service
presented by
Seán Boyle, Julian Pratt
3. A Simulation Analysis on Garbage
Can Model by using Colored-Petri Nets—For Evaluation on
Procedure
Design of Citizen
Participation in Municipal Comprehensive Planning
presented by
Toshiyuki Kaneda
Possible short break?
4. Emergent Time and Simulations: some
Significant Issues
presented by
Gus Koehler
5. Modeling Reciprocity in Political
Organizations with the Interactions Value Analysis Framework
presented by
Walid Nasrallah
6. National Identity, Economic Interests,
and International Conflict
presented by
Maurits van der Veen
Network
Studies
LAKE VIEW
Chair: David Sallach
1. An Analysis of Open Source Software
Development Using Social Network
presented by
Greg Madey
2. Balancing Efficiency and Vulnerability
in Social Networks: A Simulation Study
presented by
Phillip Bonacich
3. Families as Units Promoting Health
through Knowledge
presented by
Andrea Maloney Schara
Possible short break?
4. Navigability of Strong Ties: Small
Worlds, Complex Dynamics and Network Topologies
presented by
Douglas White
5. Representing the Social Practices
of Communities as the Basis for Agent-based Simulation
presented by
Joe Jeffrey
6. Specialization without Comparative
Advantage
presented by
Jeff Shih
12:00pm-1:15pm
LUNCH
1:30pm-3:30pm
SESSION II
Flow & Resource
Analysis Studies
PINE VIEW
Chair: Douglas White
1. Get Real: Applying
Agent-Based Modeling
to Electricity Market Policy Making in Illinois
presented by
Michael North, Charles Macal
2. Using Genetic Programming to forecast
US Residential Electrical Energy
presented by
M. A. Kaboudan
3. Route Decision Behaviour in
a Commuting
Scenario: Simple Heuristics Adaptation and Effects
of Traffic
Forecasts
presented by
Ana Lúcia C. Bazzan, Franziska Kluegl
Decision Strategies
LAKE VIEW
Chair: Jasmina Arifovic
1. Cooperative agents with Contingent
Movement Rules outperform Tit-for-Tat and PAVLOV
presented by
C. Athena Aktipis
2. Human-and Software-Agent Integration
for Analyzing Business Decision Making
presented by
Masato Kobyashi, Takao Terano
3. Multi-Agent Virtual Histories of
the Development of Differentiated Economic Strategies
presented by
Darold Higa
4. Social Learning Dynamics and Norm
Formation—Dynamic Decision Theory of Learning
Agents for POST
Game Theory
presented by
Hiroshi Deguchi
4:00pm-6:00pm
SESSION III
Cognitive
Processing
Studies
PINE VIEW
Chair: Francis Steen
1. Empathy as Analogy: Inferring Other
Minds & the LISA Architecture
presented by
Charlotte Nolan
2. Functions of Different Cognitive
Structures, and their Effects on Structure
presented by
David B. Kronenfeld
3. Multi-Agent Interaction in
the Emergence
of Language and the Symbolosphere
presented by
John Schumann
4. Software Blending by a Connector-based
Multi-agent System
presented by
John Hiles
Methods—2
LAKE VIEW
Chair: Phil Bonacich
1. Comparative Analysis of Agent-based
Social Simulations: GeoSim and FEARLUS models
presented by
Claudio Gioffi-Revilla
2. A Genetic Programming Framework
to Measure Complexity
presented by
M. A. Kaboudan
3. Biological and Social Symbiosis:
An-Agent Based Exploration
presented by
C. Athena Aktipis
6:30pm-8:00pm
DINNER
8:00pm-9:30pm
CLOSING PERSPECTIVES
PINE VIEW
Chair: Edward MacKerrow
Doug
White
David
Sallach
Bill
McKelvey
9:30pm-11:45pm
SOCIAL
LAKE VIEW